Friday, November 12, 2021
Current climate crisis in Nepal
KATHMANDU, NOVEMBER 08
Climate change has now turned into a climate crisis for countries like Nepal. The global climate model shows climate change impacts may be severe at high elevation and in a complex topography like Nepal.
The current climate modelling scenario in Nepal has described two types of disasters due to increased temperature.
They are rapid disasters, such as floods and landslides, and slow-onset disasters, such as drought, forest fires, snow melts and sedimentation.
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) report has said that Nepal will suffer the adverse impact of climate change, although its contribution to greenhouse gas emission is small. Temperature increase is resulting in faster glacier melt, leading to flash floods. Water-related hazards, especially during the monsoon due to melting of ice in the mountain and plentiful rainfall in the foothills, are quite common now.
Additionally, landslides in the mid-hills occur regularly due to extreme rainfall during the monsoon. Consequently, people suffer from food insecurity since agricultural activities are disrupted, and there is forest and biodiversity loss as well as water scarcity.
Migration from the rural to urban areas due to the climate crisis is increasing in Nepal.
Drinking water, hygiene and proper sanitation system are being disrupted due to climate crisis.
Scientific research may help reduce the climate crisis through adaptation. According to Intended Nationally Determined Contribution (INDC), Nepal plans to combat greenhouse gas emissions by setting 14 goals in collaboration with the UN programme on Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation.
Maintaining risk reduction strategies like emergency awareness programmes and shifting traditional agricultural practices for food security by using natural barriers are ways to combat the adverse effect of climate change.
Nepal's aquaponics practices may be an innovative technology that can help grow more vegetables per unit area and improve fish farming to meet the extra food demand.
Use of electrical appliances in our homes and everyday life with the clean energy produced in the country can help cut down on greenhouse gas emission.
Active participation from all sectors, such as the public and government, is required to reduce the adverse effects of climate change. As they say in the west, "prevention is better than cure". Therefore, we all need to start preparing for the impending climate crisis in our country, which will be the norm if no action is taken.
A version of this article appears in the print on November 09, 2021, of The Himalayan Times.
Published: The Himalayan Times
Nepal's leading daily newspaper
Tuesday, July 27, 2021
Unban Crypto and adopt it as Digital Currency
Since the rise of the 21st century, the world has seen many changes. Still, it has been changing a lot with the height of pandemic and economic crisis and new technological advancement, threatening the entire financial ecosystem. Fintech or financial technology is a new epoch in computer science and technology. Things that were once dreams are now possible. People in the past used the barter system to exchange goods and services until there came the age when we started using paper currency. It was not a full stop because humans fixed their eyes something higher in the revolution chain. Now paper currency is losing its prime value, and the world is rapidly moving towards digital currency. Digital currency is the product of the fastest computers and modern technology. People perform their transactions in digital currency. We can easily use smartphones and laptops to fulfil all our transactions sitting at our homes. In the beginning, this currency could not get the public's attention because people had very little knowledge about it. Still, the upcoming years proved that the future of digital money is secured.
People send or receive money through money orders. They should get benefit from this modern system. It is the government that can help these people. It can launch digital currency in the country for the use of its public. Therefore, many countries have understood the importance of digital currency. Many countries have launched their digital currency. In 2015, Ecuador launched its digital currency. The National Assembly of Ecuador once banned digital currency. However, the government unbanned it within upcoming years and allowed the public to make transactions in this currency. Ecuador is the first country now accepting bitcoin and other digital currencies as legal tender. This step is ideal for many Eastern countries too. Not only Ecuador but many other countries, too, have adopted digital currency. These countries are China, Senegal, Russia, Japan, Sweden, Estonia, etc. Fee charges on digital transactions are meagre as compared to traditional money transfer services.
The world is rapidly adopting the digital currency. Russia has more than 10 million owners who use digital currency, the USA more than 20 million, South Africa 7.11% of the entire population use digital currency. India 7.30%, UK 4.95%, Pakistan 4.10%, Spain 2.15%. The underdeveloped nations should also launch digital currency so that their public could also benefit from this modern system. Our country should also welcome new trends. We have before us the example of Ecuador. First, the parliament banned digital currency, but later on, they not only warmly accepted it but launched their digital currency. The most important question here is whether this digital currency secures the future or contributes to economic growth. Digital currency can back up our economy. It can increase payments and transactions, which can also increase the overall GDP of our country as we know that the coronavirus pandemic has affected the world mass economy.
Now we all want a system to secure our payments without extra-plus charges. Digital currency is the only solution to every country's problem these days. India is opening bitcoin as an asset class. China is also experimenting with the digital Yuan. It is launching digital currency and electronic payment in Shenzhen, Xuan, Chengdu and Suzhou. Russians are also using PayPass and Apple Pay. France and South Korea are also working out on digitalising their currency. The next century is the century of digital currency.
Digital currency is not just a currency. It is a technology with many facets, principally blockchain technology, that can increase tax payments and collections 100% more secured and fastest. Today world economies largely depend on US dollars. Digital currency such as Crypto can be the best alternative to US dollars. However, people may prefer the government-backed currency, and central banks worldwide are working on CBDC (Central Bank Digital Currency) in developing countries. They will not like to take risks of replacing their money
with digital currency. If the government allows using digital currency freely, it could also benefit economic growth.
On the other hand, people want authorship from the government. If private companies get authorship of digital currencies such as e-wallets, they might pursue their commercial interests. For example, see abundant e-wallets licenses distributed by NRB (Nepal Rastra Bank), but only a few operate. Security and trust should be the primary concern for e-wallet companies. Moreover, employees of these companies can also leak information, so the most secure and reliable source could be the government. There is an ongoing argument about "centralisation vs decentralisation" in the digital world.
In contrast, decentralisation can benefit over-centralisation, especially when there will be a "single point of failure"; the entire ecosystem will halt when it fails. Nevertheless, governments are reluctant because launching a digital currency requires staff, professionals, a complete setup and security to save the mechanism from hackers. It is so because the national economy depends on it. Nevertheless, many governments have started following China, Ecuador, France and Russia.
Within the next few years, digital currency will be available to all citizens. For example, check out Unelma Platforms's new investment in Crypto coin called, UnelmaCoin ($UNC), an incredible digital cryptocurrency. It is a decentralised coin mainly designed for developing countries. Moreover, it is established on already existing popular cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, PIVX and Dash. Therefore, rather than considering digital currency as some foreign concept, our government should first unban Crypto, second consider digital currency such as crypto and blockchain technology as an asset class, an investment opportunity and thirdly, start researching, innovating and financing in decentralisation ecosystems.
Sunday, October 21, 2018
Find what you love and let it kill you.
― Charles Bukowski
Wednesday, November 8, 2017
Digital Currency
Bill hacked into the computer world with the invention of Microsoft and BASIC (Beginners All Purpose Symbolic Instruction Code) which was the first operating system that ever got into mainstream personal computers.
Today the technology has a widespread impact not just in personal computer space but many other domains such as financial technologies also shortly called as fin-tech, education technologies also called ed-tech and biotechnologies, i.e. biotech.
In fin-tech space, the recent advances in Bitcoin have made a lot of countries and financial institutions nervous and worried. In short, Bitcoin is the currency of the Internet where the transaction between A to B happens on a distributed network where there is no central authority or entity.
Bitcoin was first invented a decade ago by a guy named Satoshi Nakamoto, a pseudonym that is anonymous till date. Back in those days if you would have bought Bitcoin at today’s market value that would have given you 5000% return. You would have become rich beyond your imagination.
Recently a friend of mine who is an avid Nepalese reader of news shared a news that Bitcoin exchange is illegal in Nepal. I smiled when I heard the news since Nepal falls in the basket of “poor world” according to Gates and it shows how uneducated the regulators and policymakers in our country are, especially in case of how the technology is shaping our modern world, and it shows our reluctance and conservatism towards change.
Many countries in Europe, America and Africa have started trading Bitcoin. It is a new form of cash, but only digital, so there is no governing body like we are used to with most financial institutions. Since Bitcoin and digital currency is legal in India, Pakistan and China, I don’t see why it should be illegal here. It should by no means become unlawful since the transaction happens from party A to party B and the other parties who run the network get some share of money for making that trade happen.
I would suggest that Government officials should start making a plan and laws to make this digital currency legal in Nepal as soon as possible.
Published: The Himalayan Times
A version of this article appears in print on November 08, 2017 of The Himalayan Times.
Sunday, January 22, 2017
When the earth beneath me moved
Published: The Kathmandu Post
Tuesday, August 9, 2016
Better Civic Infrastructure
Sunday, April 24, 2016
YOGA — A Software Development Process Based On Ancient Principles
YOGA* is a software development process based on ancient principles and derived from many years of experience with software production and introspective research into and measurement of software production.
YOGA stands for You Only Go Ahead and its theme is to be forward looking. It consists of 10 basic commandments such as:
- Ignore the past and only look ahead. Don't worry about repeating past mistakes.
- Don't try to be rational. There is substantial evidence that there’s no such thing as a rational software production process. Think of yourselves as artists, free to create.
- Each team member should meditate on his/her code for an hour every day. The purpose of the meditation is to become more enlightened about the code and coding. The goal should be to find a place in the code that the team member can modify today.
- Strengthen your core. Your core developers are the ones who make 80% of the changes. Give them coding exercises to do and hold an occasional refactoring contest to see who can refactor fastest
Here are some Q/A ( (Taken from: http://learning.acm.org/webinar/yoga_qa.cfm).
Q: Can you talk about Slide 17 more? What is NCSL? Was that a typo about off-shoring to project inexperienced group?
A: NCSL is non-commentary source lines of code, i.e., lines of executable code. Not a typo - it happened.
Q: So the idea behind not being rational is to not plan or plan as little as possible?
A: Plan for the unexpected.
Q: How do you promote innovation in a team capacity, rather focus on individualism - using Yoga?
A: Create a team where members respect each otber and encourage new ideas.
Q: What's the main purpose of a stand-up meeting every morning?
A: Team building, Change Selection, Status. It also encourages thought about what to do next and how to present it to others.
Q: How do you control the voting on changes, in order to avoid endless discussions about what is right or wrong to be done? Thanks!
A: In case of controversy or indecision, the senior, most respected team member has final say. Often the chief architect.
Q: Is there a "Witness Protection Program" for Software Gurus? :-)
A: Some create alter egos. Some create gangs of followers who drown out other opinions.
Q: How do you predict changes in software?
A: You can't predict every change, but can predict classes of changes, encode them as variabilities as in the FWS example. To help with prediction, review past changes, think about new technology, and changes in technology. For example, 10 years ago you could have predicted that disk drives would get bigger and faster and might have new protocols for access.
Q: The speaker reminds me of a Guru DMW :-)
A: I have great respect for DMW and often echo his opinions. We have much in common.
Q: How productive were you in rotations? Software is a thinking activity. What was the rate of change for peak performance?
A: Having backups for each team member is a continuing process. When a person becomes expert or senior in one area, rotate her to another area as part of the learning process.
Q: When an issue in a role appears, does everybody assist the actual person in the role?
A: Depends on circumstances, but generally, the backup for the person and perhaps a senior team member.
Q: What about the YAGNI principle in agile software methods in relation to Variability?
A: Start with the minimal useful subset, i.e., variabilities that have most initial value. Then implement next most useful variabilities. Etc. YAGNI is an oversimplified view of this.
Q: I understand how a business environment could change a person's focuses, but what situation would cause an outright descent in productivity? Couldn't you steer that with pay increases or job rotation? I have to ask more questions about slide 17.
A: Decay in morale can be caused by any of a number of reasons (company doing badly, best people leaving, etc.). Anecdote: I know a company where senior developers were told to train new, inexperienced, offshore developers and were told that they would be laid off after they completed the training. Not good for morale or productivity.
Q: How would you sustain tacit system "essential knowledge" with yoga through business decisions that "optimize" organizations through workforce reductions/retirements etc.?
A: The only real response is to maintain good documentation, particularly documentation that records essential decisions and knowledge. See "A Rational Design Process, How and Why To Fake It."
Q: YOGA has a resemblance of Agile methodologies. What are the key differences, for folks want to move from Agile?
A: YOGA encourages more forethought about architecture and potential changes, and encourages more team building; records key decisions and why they were made; tries to put people in a relaxed frame of mind where they can concentrate better.
Q: What do you do when two members of the team have high complaints for each other?
A: Separate them by giving them two distinct and different tasks to do. If one or both continue to ignore team goals in pursuit of local arguments or self-aggrandizement, fire him/her (or them).
Q: What is the exact link between "Salute the Sun" and software engineering?
A: Each requires careful and precise mind and body extension and the ability to look ahead and up.
Q: How well does the YOGA process work with multi-site projects?
A: Excellently. That is, in fact, the subject of a whole other lecture.
Q: What if the project has gaps of coding, design, and testing...then how does the principle of thinking about coding one hour each day hold? Also, rotating roles may mean waste of time.
A: Not sure what the gaps are - do you mean there may be intervals of inactivity between each? Thinking about coding (or testing or design for that matter) helps one to look ahead.
Q: How can one know what the future will require from a piece of software? The Standish Reports revealed that 60% of realized functionality wasn't even used.
A: You need to estimate the value of each variability and apply option theory (see above).
Q: When a new member joins the team, how do you sell them on the benefits of a "strum" meeting? Among other things, the guitar in the background for example.
A: Have other team members be welcoming. Have him/her play the guitar initially.
Q: I see YOGA as complementary to SCRUM/Agile. Where SCRUM/Agile focuses on the process and its artifacts, YOGA is more about the practices. Do you agree?
A: No. They are very different. See answer to number 14 (above).
Q: Any YOGA techniques to get over programmer's block (writer's block)?
A: Deep relaxation to clear and focus the mind. Sun salutations to focus the mind and keep active.
Q: [Do you have an] example of an artifact that is not normally used outside "YOGA in Software," for example in Risk?
A: Risk factor.
Q: What can a project manager take away from saluting the sun?
A: Who is flexible and who is not. Who has endurance and who has not. Who needs coaching and who does not. Is the PM up to standards on these aspects as well?
Q: Workforce reductions usually result in abandonment of the software system. Domain Analysis...commonality/variability analysis is useful...but doesn't necessarily prevent or slow the extinction process.
A: It does if the C/V analysis identifies most valuable features.
Q: How would you adapt these YOGA principles to distributed development teams?
A: That's another hour-long lecture. Architecture plays a key role.
Q: What are the success stories of using the YOGA approach?
A: Most companies are unwilling to disclose information about their software development processes, so I can't give specific examples.
Q: Have you been training/exercising this YOGA principle with all your development teams? And what about developer-"divas" who definitely feel too good for this training?
A: Yes, but it is a continuing work in progress. I have little patience for divas. If they want to, they can go work on their own. Of course, there have been some remarkable successes this way, but almost always the results are inherited by a larger team.
Q: Could you talk more about anticipating the future? This was the part of your talk with which I connected most, since I tend to define good software engineering and programming as being deeply connected to good prognostication of future changes.
A: Your connection is correct. See answers 7 and 14 above. There's another hour-long lecture on this topic. See also "The Modular Design of Complex Systems."
Q: Do you want everyone to have an implant?
A: Absolutely. Then I can control the whole human race! We can get around the limitations of our DNA.
Q: Is the YOGA Master included in the role switching?
A: Certainly.
Q: Is this applicable to a beginner software developer?
A: Yes. In fact, best to teach them YOGA in their first projects.
Q: Are Version Control Systems too tied to history to be used with the YOGA program?
A: No. You need them. How else to control changes?
Q: How can YOGA practices be integrated in the software development cycle?
A: Implement the practices described in my talk.
Q: I am a system administrator. I like networking and systems. Please give me advice from your experience to improve my skills and thinking capability so that I can grasp the concept effectively and fast
A: Read papers by David Parnas on requirements, architecture and design. Read about the GQM method for software measurement. Read Software Product Line Engineering by Weiss and Lai. Find a good mentor.
Q: How effective did you find rotation, and how often should it happen?
A: Very effective. I have seen it save projects, both in time and quality considerations.
Q: We actually had standup meetings where we required the project manager to stand on one leg, because they would otherwise become too long. No kidding.
A: Excellent and very consistent with YOGA. You are forward thinkers.
Q: How effective did you find rotation, and how often should it happen?
A: Very effective. I have seen it save projects, both in time and quality considerations.
Q: I arrived late, but I heard you talking about an interesting paper. Can you please state the title of the paper? Thanks.
A: There were several interesting papers and books that I mentioned. See the source references on the slides.
Q: One of the things that happened to me at yoga class was at relaxing time [when] I fell asleep. That too helped me refresh... Would you recommend cat naps at some point of the day (not necessarily at the meeting which happens...)?
A: Falling asleep during deep relaxation sometimes happens to those new to yoga, sometimes because the yoga session is too physically intense and tiring, sometimes because the yoga teacher does not properly emphasize what the student should be trying to do during relaxation. Cat naps [are ok] only if the person is not getting enough sleep at night, which may be an indication of other troubles.
Q: When rotating roles, how much impact does it have on schedule initially?
A: If no one has ever taken a different role before, and it is a new project, and the developers are inexperienced, it can have some schedule impact, I think. In such a situation there will be schedule impact anyway from these factors.